Oil, Oil, Everywhere, But Not A Drop To Refine
June 24th, 2008 by
draveed
Here’s some news that should make all the energy independence buffs throw their hats to the floor and shout “Tarnashion!” India’s Reliance Industries is building the world’s largest oil refinery. This refinery, scheduled for completion this December, is planned for refined fuel export to Europe and the US exclusively. So by the end of the year we can be dependent on India for gasoline shipments. Gas prices could drop by 60 cents a gallon from this.
How can this lower prices when we’re being told we live in a world of tight oil supplies? It’s actually quite simple. This enormous refinery will process sour crude oil. Sour refers to the sulfur content of the petroleum. Sour crude has lots of sulfur. Sweet crude has little. Removing sulfur from oil is an expensive process, so in the past oil refiners have chosen to favor sweet crude. I was surprised to learn there is actually a glut of sour oil. The extra 200,000 daily barrels Saudi Arabia pledged this weekend to pump is all sour crude. That’s why the announcement did nothing to lower prices. The Saudis will pump more unwanted oil. Iraq has 30 million barrels in tankers floating at sea. They have no destination because no one wants to buy sour crude.
The oil price you see ticking ever higher on TV is the price for West Texas Intermediate crude. That is a light sweet crude oil, and that type of oil is actually in short supply. We’re not finding any new major fields in Texas anymore. The UK’s sweet crude from the North Sea is in decline. Nigeria is another sweet crude producer and thanks to militants in the oil rich Niger River Delta, it’s well below its pumping capacity. Nigeria could pump 3 million barrels a day, but the rebel attacks have cut that by 944,000 barrels. If the rebels were put down, oil prices would plummet.
But remember, No Blood For Oil, so we’ll have to make due with the sour crude no one wants. Well, Reliance Industries will want it by the end of the year. They’re going buy this cheaper oil, turn it into high quality fuel, and sell it to us. They will get even more money because refined fuel commands a higher price than crude, and new jobs from the deal. Construction of the new refinery is employing 100,000 people (not a typo). It will still employ thousands of people when it’s running.
Let this be a reminder that all this energy independence talk is hot air. How can we seriously say we’re going to get away from importing oil, when we’re about to import even more refined fuel!? The US is about to become even more dependent on another country for fuel but nobody cares because doing something (building our own refineries) is impossible. No one is willing to compromise and agree to allow any to be built. Over and over local politicians bemoan the loss of heavy industry. How dare they do that when no one will stand up and offer land for a new refinery. A giant factory that builds cars or TV sets or any widget you choose isn’t going to be any different. Industry is industry and a refinery will be as clean, or dirty depending on your perspective, as any other. Michigan only has one refinery. Indiana has two, and Ohio has four. If they’re hurting for blue collar jobs so bad, let an oil company build some sour crude refineries in those states.

Posted in Finance | 3 Comments »
June 25th, 2008 at 6:58 am
We may eventually see a new refinery in the U.S. in a few years. South Dakota voters approved rezoning for a planned refinery. It will process Canadian crude. Construction is scheduled to begin in 2010. Better late than never.
S.D. county approves rezoning for new oil refinery
Also, see Crude Rising Faster Than Gasoline.
June 26th, 2008 at 3:39 am
So you have to ask yourself: Is it possible that the enviros are the cause of the oil war?
No Blood For Oil or No Drilling For Oil?
===
I think their days (Democrat/Enviro alliance) are numbered. Just as the Dems are no longer so close to the anti-gun crowd. Backing losers is a losing proposition.
The Ds are not going to do near as well in Nov. as they believe.
June 26th, 2008 at 3:55 pm
Well Mike, I’m VERY glad to hear there is some progress on building a new refinery. 2010 is kinda far, but hey, at least it’s something. Thanks for the good news.
Simon, the enviromentalists certainly aren’t helping; that’s for sure. I don’t get why people won’t question how it’s perfectly fine to drill for oil in the Gulf of Mexico, but it’s somehow evil and wrong to drill along the Atlantic or Pacific coasts.
Why is there even a choice here? Why can’t oil companies drill along the coasts AND also pursue alternative sources of energy? That’s something for everyone and provides our future with some insurance. What if these new energy sources don’t pan out? We’ll research them for 10 or 20 years and be left with nothing to show for it? At least if we allow drilling today, we have a familiar energy source to fall back on in case things don’t turn out as expected.